PRINCETON, NJ -- Americans say unemployment is the No. 1 problem facing the
United States at the start of 2011, with 29% naming it. Mentions of "the
economy" in general as the leading problem have been trending downward since
October, and the current 26% reading is the lowest since May. At the same time,
focus on the federal deficit has been edging up, and, although similar to the
rate mentioning it last February, the 12% of Americans citing it this month is
numerically the highest Gallup has recorded in at least a decade.
Gallup first asked the Most Important Problem question in 1939 and has
repeated it at least annually almost every year since, establishing monthly
updates in 2001. Assessing the long-term trend for the federal budget deficit is
difficult because prior to 2001, Gallup combined responses for the deficit with
those for the federal budget generally. While in some cases those responses may
be comparable, in others -- such as in 1990 and 1996 -- public concern about
congressional budget battles was highly distinct from the deficit-specific
concerns of today.
The latest update, conducted Jan. 7-9, 2011, finds 68% of Americans naming at
least one economic issue and 50% naming at least one non-economic issue as the
top problem. The survey was conducted the weekend of the Arizona incident in
which six Americans were killed, and Rep. Gabrielle Giffords and several others
were critically wounded, in a shooting rampage. However, it may have been too
soon for the survey to measure any resulting changes in Americans' perceptions
of the nation's top problem -- such as, perhaps, increases in concern about gun
violence.
The leading economic problems named this month are unemployment, the economy,
and the federal deficit/debt, followed by lack of money (4%), fuel prices (3%),
and taxes (2%). Despite the rising cost of gas in recent months, with average
U.S. pump prices in December exceeding $3 per gallon for the first time since
October 2008, public mentions of fuel prices have yet to increase significantly.
This bears watching in 2011, as mentions of gas prices as the top problem rose
to 25% in June 2008, when pump prices exceeded $4.
The top non-economic issue this month is healthcare, but the 13% naming it is
half the
peak level seen in 2009 prior to passage of President Barack Obama's
healthcare reform plan. Dissatisfaction with government, including mentions of
corruption and poor leadership by the Congress and the president, is mentioned
by 11%. Fewer name immigration (6%) or war in general (5%).
Perhaps simplifying matters for Obama and the new Congress as they set
priorities for the coming legislative agenda, Gallup finds relatively little
partisan disagreement among Americans about the nation's top problems.
Unemployment and the economy rank as the top two most important problems for
both Republicans and Democrats. These political groups (each of which includes
independents who lean toward that party) also largely agree on the next three
problems -- healthcare, the federal budget deficit/debt, and government --
although the federal budget deficit/debt garners significantly more mentions
from Republicans, among whom the issue ranks third, than it does from Democrats,
for whom it is fifth.
In some cases, regional differences are greater than partisan ones. This is
especially evident for immigration, which 10% of Americans living in the West
cite as the top problem, compared with 3% in the East, 4% in the South, and 6%
in the Midwest.
Bottom Line
Americans continue to view the economy as one of the nation's leading
problems, but they put slightly less emphasis on it today than they did last
fall. At the same time, the percentage of Americans citing unemployment has
remained high and the percentage citing the federal budget deficit has expanded.
The deficit is now a more prominent public concern than it was for most of last
year, and this could have important implications for how much President Obama
emphasizes the issue in his State of the Union address and the 2012 budget he
prepares for Congress.
Copyright © 2011 Gallup, Inc. All rights
reserved.